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Dodgy Favourites Dodgy Favourites is a relatively new system devised by professional gambler Paul Fowlie. It is by no means one of the cheapest systems on the market but has a distinct advantage over many in the fact that it has proved extremely profitable over the testing period. In some ways this system, which selects favourites to lay as losers, applies a form of reverse logic. When I first read the systems instructions I thought that it was a method to pick winners not losers. In fact when I had doubts as to whether it could possibly be effective. However, the truth is that it does work and if you sit and think about it the reason it does is very simple. The basic premise of the system is that if a horse is the obvious favourite and looks certain to win then it will be over bet. This means that the horses price will be lower than the actual facts merit. For example if a horse has a 50/50 chance of winning the race then it should be even money (2.0) but if it looks like a good thing and has lots going for it then more than likely it will be trading at 1.8 or shorter. This horse is therefore a value lay and if you lay horses like this over the long term you will win. One big factor in the favour of Dodgy Favourites is because you are laying the market leader your liabilities on each bet are relatively low. Several of the leading experts have been “paper testing” Dodgy Favourites and report very positive results. In the light of this I have added Dodgy Favourites to my own betting portfolio and am using it on a daily basis and to date I have had no regrets about doing this.
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